Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.238882 0.260634 0.283853 0.310547 0.340464 0.373050 0.411346
2026-01-18 0.198874 0.228960 0.263330 0.305776 0.357164 0.417846 0.495644
2026-01-25 0.171191 0.204511 0.244420 0.296291 0.362742 0.446136 0.560530
2026-02-01 0.152752 0.187795 0.231351 0.290321 0.369420 0.473844 0.625582
2026-02-08 0.137821 0.173413 0.219004 0.282846 0.371853 0.494551 0.682046
2026-02-15 0.126490 0.162375 0.209563 0.277631 0.375856 0.516681 0.742123
2026-02-22 0.120139 0.157236 0.207274 0.281592 0.392581 0.558146 0.836201
2026-03-01 0.112845 0.150124 0.201506 0.279756 0.400159 0.586154 0.912240
2026-03-08 0.105794 0.142774 0.194724 0.275621 0.403476 0.607365 0.979311
2026-03-15 0.098841 0.135060 0.186792 0.268943 0.401906 0.620080 1.032755
2026-03-22 0.096440 0.133736 0.188069 0.276403 0.423552 0.673610 1.168410
2026-03-29 0.093890 0.131984 0.188508 0.282444 0.443253 0.725842 1.310139
2026-04-05 0.090111 0.128276 0.185876 0.283591 0.455236 0.766705 1.438854
2026-04-12 0.084855 0.122030 0.178918 0.277064 0.453175 0.781425 1.515939
2026-04-19 0.079574 0.115453 0.171021 0.268317 0.446215 0.785810 1.571000
2026-04-26 0.075450 0.110465 0.165371 0.262985 0.444987 0.801239 1.654135
2026-05-03 0.071399 0.105382 0.159260 0.256370 0.440664 0.809758 1.722319
2026-05-10 0.068044 0.101246 0.154476 0.251756 0.439729 0.825144 1.810510
2026-05-17 0.066443 0.099868 0.154205 0.255259 0.455038 0.877189 2.004513
2026-05-24 0.064031 0.097031 0.151287 0.253636 0.459811 0.906513 2.144000
2026-05-31 0.061430 0.093757 0.147436 0.249978 0.460017 0.925408 2.258382
2026-06-07 0.058622 0.090014 0.142578 0.244068 0.454941 0.931290 2.335901
2026-06-14 0.058011 0.089950 0.144160 0.250670 0.477216 1.005617 2.641790